"If the news is true, we should all be happy," read the reaction to
the news on an Indonesian website run by a convicted terrorist
accomplice known as the "Prince of Jihad".
The US FBI has updated its notice on bin Laden, on the web page of the Most Wanted Terrorists. |
Southeast
Asia jihadist movements such as Indonesia-based Jemaah Islamiyah and
Abu Sayyaf in the Philippines have cooperated with and been inspired by
Al-Qaeda, but their aims and means are independent, experts said.
Said
Aqil Siradj, chairman of Indonesia's largest Muslim organisation, the
moderate Nahdlatul Ulama, which claims 60 million members, said bin
Laden's demise "won't automatically eradicate radicalism from the
earth". Related article: Zawahiri remains most-wanted
S. E. Asian jihadis vow to fight without bin Laden |
The region's best-known
Al-Qaeda-linked groups, Jemaah Islamiyah (JI) and Abu Sayyaf, have
murdered hundreds of people across Southeast Asia since well before the
9/11 attacks on the United States.
In the worst atrocity, more
than 200 people, mainly Westerners, were killed in 2002 when JI bombers
set off their homemade devices at packed tourist nightspots on the
Indonesian resort island of Bali.
Classified US documents recently
released by the whistleblowing website WikiLeaks reveal that Indonesian
JI militant Hambali, now in Guantanamo Bay, "facilitated money,
personnel and supplies to Al-Qaeda and JI terrorist operations".
They
said he spent three days with bin Laden in Afghanistan in 1996, was
involved in Al-Qaedas anthrax programme and facilitated plots and
attacks in Indonesia, the Philippines, Singapore, Malaysia, and
Cambodia.
Another top Indonesian JI militant accused of
masterminding the Bali bombings, Umar Patek, was arrested last month in
Abbottabad, the same Pakistani town where bin Laden was found hiding in a
massive walled compound.
But while some of Al-Qaeda's links to
Southeast Asia were deep and long-lasting, analysts say bin Laden's
global network never controlled regional outfits and his death would not
hamper their operations.
"I think there are limited implications
for Indonesia because Al-Qaeda has lost its foothold in Southeast Asia,"
regional security analyst Adam Dolnik, of the University of Wollongong
in Australia, told AFP.
"Bin Laden himself hasn't played much of a
role for a number of years. Al-Qaeda has separated from Jemaah
Islamiyah which has separated from the actual people who go about the
terrorist attacks on the ground.
"There are so many degrees of separation."
An
April report by the International Crisis Group, a Brussels-based think
tank, said the terror threat facing Indonesia was no longer in the form
of large, Al-Qaeda-linked networks such as JI but small, independent
groups.
A suicide attack at a mosque in an Indonesian police
station last month fits a pattern of "individual jihad" aimed at local
targets by small groups of extremists, it said.
A trend was
emerging that favoured targeted killings -- particularly police and
religious minorities -- over indiscriminate bombings, local over foreign
targets and small group action over more hierarchical organisations.
"Information
about these groups is only available because their members were caught.
This raises the question of how many similar small groups... exist
across Indonesia," the report said.
University of Indonesia
security analyst Andi Widjajanto said bin Laden's death might even
galvanise Southeast Asian militants into action.
"Osama's death
doesn't mean their struggle will end because Al-Qaeda's power is not
centralised on its leader but on its jihadist ideology," he said.
Another
University of Indonesia analyst, Sri Yunanto, said Southeast Asian
militants did not even need Al-Qaeda as an ideological inspiration.
"In terms of ideology, there are many other independent extremist movements which existed here well before bin Laden," he said.
"Terrorism and religious extremism will continue to thrive here."
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